Will Treasury Wine Estates Improve With Age?

Will Treasury Wine Estates Improve With Age?

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(WSJ) - Treasury Wine Estates may have outperformed the benchmark S&P/ASX200 index by 18.4% in the past six months but JPMorgan, Citi, Credit Suisse and Commonwealth Bank of Australia all reckon it’s better to be underweight. Spun out in May from the now de-listed Foster’s Group, the company just became Australia’s largest listed alcohol company with a market capitalization of 2.5 billion Australian dollars (US$2.55 billion). CBA analyst Jordan Rogers downgraded the stock to “sell” last Thursday, with a price target of A$3.50 citing its outperformance and domestic grape oversupply. The broker believes the company is unlikely to receive a bid higher than the A$2.3 to A$2.7 billion indicative non-binding bid from Cerberus Capital Management in September 2010 and thinks the risk of corporate activity is not reason enough to hold.


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